May was certainly cooler this year, not just in terms of temperatures, but also in the real estate market. In May, the number of transactions on the MLS® in Metro Vancouver1 saw a noticeable decline compared to the typical volume for this time of year. This decrease in buying activity has contributed to an accumulation of homes available for sale, resulting in over 13,000 properties now actively listed on the MLS® in the region.
The reduction in transactions suggests a potential cooling in the market, where buyers might be exercising more caution or waiting for more favourable conditions. Meanwhile, sellers continue to list their properties, leading to an increased supply of homes. This growing inventory could result in more competitive pricing and greater opportunities for buyers, potentially shifting market dynamics and influencing future trends in the real estate sector. As the market adjusts, both buyers and sellers may need to adapt their strategies to navigate the evolving landscape.
Residential Home Sales
The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR)2 reports that residential sales in the region totalled 2,733 in May 2024, a 19.9 per cent decrease from the 3,411 sales recorded in May 2023. Last month’s sales total was also down 19.6 per cent from the 10-year seasonal average for May (3,398).
“The surprise in the May data is that sales have come in softer than what we’d typically expect to see at this point in the year, while the number of newly listed homes for sale is carrying some of the momentum seen in the April data.” – Andrew Lis, REBGV director of economics and data analytics.
Inventory
There were 6,374 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the MLS® in Metro Vancouver in May 2024. This represents a 12.6 per cent increase compared to the 5,661 properties listed in May 2023 and a seven per cent increase compared to the 10-year seasonal average (5,958).
Home Price Data Analysis
The total number of properties currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 13,600, a 46.3 per cent increase compared to May 2023 (9,293). This total is also up 19.9 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average (11,344).
Metro Vancouver Home Sales by Property Type
Across all detached, attached and apartment property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for May 2024 is 20.8 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 16.8 per cent for detached homes, 25.1 per cent for attached, and 22.5 per cent for apartment properties.
Analysis of the historical data suggests downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.
Detached
Sales of detached homes in May 2024 reached 846, an 18.9 per cent decrease from the 1,043 detached sales recorded in May 2023. The benchmark price for a detached home is $2,062,600. This represents a 5.9 per cent increase from May 2023 and a 1.3 per cent increase compared to April 2024.
Apartments
Sales of apartment homes reached 1,338 in May 2024, a 22.7 per cent decrease compared to the 1,730 sales in May 2023. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $776,200. This represents a 2.2 per cent increase from May 2023 and a 0.3 per cent decrease compared to April 2024.
Attached Homes
Attached home sales in May 2024 totalled 523, a 14 per cent decrease compared to the 608 sales in May 2023. The benchmark price of a townhouse is $1,145,500. This represents a 5.2 per cent increase from May 2023 and a 0.9 per cent increase compared to April 2024.
The Stilhavn Report
Whether you are looking to buy or sell a home or investment property in the coming months, or just curious about what’s happing in your neighbourhood, The Stilhavn Report has you covered. Providing in-depth market information and monthly summaries of what’s happening in the areas we service, this monthly report is the perfect starting point for first time buyers and market savvy investors alike.
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